Survivor: Yul Kwon’s Chances of Being Season 40’s Winner

Yul Kwon may be the smartest person competing in Survivor: Winners at War, but will it translate to his second victory in as many tries? The Cook Islands champion is back, 27 seasons later, hoping it will.

Yul has spoken about how he wasn’t a fan of the season 13 theme when he learned of it soon before the game began. Four tribes were divided by race, a designation that Yul believes hindered him from being able to play the way he really wanted to. Nonetheless, he was a driver of strategy throughout the game, rallying the Aitu 4 alliance and leveraging a super idol to swing the numbers in his favor. He beat four-time Survivor Ozzy Lusth by one vote. They were joined by finalist Becky Lee, fresh off her marathon of a fire-making challenge, to form the first ever three-person final tribal council. Now, the three-person format has become a staple, but there are plenty of other twists Yul is not yet accustomed to. Can he adapt to a game that has moved at a rapid pace since he last left it?

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Why Yul will win

Yul’s first game was strong even without acknowledging his super idol. He beat Parvati Shallow, now regarded as one of the greatest Survivor players ever, along with several others who would go on to play a second and third time. Since he took so much time off, he enters Winners at War with one of the lowest threat levels. He could easily be a number for an alliance looking for a solid ally who knows how to flip the numbers to his advantage.

Why Yul won’t win

He has been one of the most detached members of the season 40 cast from the Survivor world since his first win. He’ll be coming into a game where almost everyone knows each other better than they know Yul. It will be a disadvantage Yul must overcome if he wants to avoid the first few votes.

Prediction: 3rd place: It feels wrong placing Yul in the goat position here. But it just feels like this will be a woman’s season to win. As such, it is easy to see Yul being a part of an alliance and feeling like he has power without being solely responsible for any of the moves. It’s hard to see people coming after Yul if he is able to make friends early on, but it’s also not easy to see him winning this particular season of Survivor.

Survivorpremieres Wednesday at 8 p.m. ET on CBS.

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